The impact of multimorbidity on severe COVID-19 outcomes in community and congregate settings.

Purpose: This study examined the impact of multimorbidity on severe COVID-19 outcomes in community and long-term care (LTC) settings, alone and in interaction with age and sex. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all Ontarians who tested positive for COVID-19 between January-2020 and May-2021 with follow-up until June 2021. We used cox regression to evaluate the adjusted impact of multimorbidity, individual characteristics, and interactions on time to hospitalization and death (any cause). Results: 24.5% of the cohort had 2 or more pre-existing conditions. Multimorbidity was associated with 28% to 170% shorter time to hospitalization and death, respectively. However, predictors of hospitalization and death differed for people living in community and LTC. In community, increasing multimorbidity and age predicted shortened time to hospitalization and death. In LTC, we found none of the predictors examined were associated with time to hospitalization, except for increasing age that predicted reduced time to death up to 40.6 times. Sex was a predictor across all settings and outcomes: among male the risk of hospitalization or death was higher shortly after infection (e.g. HR for males at 14 days = 30.3) while among female risk was higher for both outcome in the longer term (e.g. HR for males at 150 days = 0.16). Age and sex modified the impact of multimorbidity in the community. Conclusion: Community-focused public health measures should be targeted and consider sociodemographic and clinical characteristics such as multimorbidity. In LTC settings, further research is needed to identify factors that may contribute to improved outcomes.

Socioeconomic gradient in mortality of working age and older adults with multiple long-term conditions in England and Ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: There is currently mixed evidence on the influence of long-term conditions and deprivation on mortality. We aimed to explore whether number of long-term conditions contribute to socioeconomic inequalities in mortality, whether the influence of number of conditions on mortality is consistent across socioeconomic groups and whether these associations vary by working age (18-64 years) and older adults (65 + years). We provide a cross-jurisdiction comparison between England and Ontario, by replicating the analysis using comparable representative datasets. METHODS: Participants were randomly selected from Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England and health administrative data in Ontario. They were followed from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019 or death or deregistration. Number of conditions was counted at baseline. Deprivation was measured according to the participant's area of residence. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazards of mortality by number of conditions, deprivation and their interaction, with adjustment for age and sex and stratified between working age and older adults in England (N = 599,487) and Ontario (N = 594,546). FINDINGS: There is a deprivation gradient in mortality between those living in the most deprived areas compared to the least deprived areas in England and Ontario. Number of conditions at baseline was associated with increasing mortality. The association was stronger in working age compared with older adults respectively in England (HR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.56,1.64 and HR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.25,1.27) and Ontario (HR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.66,1.72 and HR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.38,1.40). Number of conditions moderated the socioeconomic gradient in mortality: a shallower gradient was seen for persons with more long-term conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Number of conditions contributes to higher mortality rate and socioeconomic inequalities in mortality in England and Ontario. Current health care systems are fragmented and do not compensate for socioeconomic disadvantages, contributing to poor outcomes particularly for those managing multiple long-term conditions. Further work should identify how health systems can better support patients and clinicians who are working to prevent the development and improve the management of multiple long-term conditions, especially for individuals living in socioeconomically deprived areas.

Multimorbidity and Complexity Among Patients with Cancer in Ontario: A Retrospective Cohort Study Exploring the Clustering of 17 Chronic Conditions with Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Multimorbidity is a concern for people living with cancer, as over 90% have at least one other condition. Multimorbidity complicates care coming from multiple providers who work within separate, siloed systems. Information describing high-risk and high-cost disease combinations has potential to improve the experience, outcome, and overall cost of care by informing comprehensive care management frameworks. This study aimed to identify disease combinations among people with cancer and other conditions, and to assess the health burden associated with those combinations to help healthcare providers more effectively prioritize and coordinate care. METHODS: We used a population-based retrospective cohort design including adults with a cancer diagnosis between March-2003 and April-2013, followed-up until March 2018. We used observed disease combinations defined by level of multimorbidity and partitive (k-means) clusters, ie groupings of similar diseases based on the prevalence of each condition. We assessed disease combination-associated health burden through health service utilization, including emergency department visits, primary care visits and hospital admissions during the follow-up period. RESULTS: 549,248 adults were included in the study. Anxiety, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and osteoarthritis co-occurred with cancer 1.1 to 5.3 times more often than expected by chance. Disease combinations varied by cancer type and age but were similar between sexes. The largest partitive cluster included cancer and anxiety, with at least 25% of individuals also having osteoarthritis. Cancer also tended to co-occur with hypertension (8.0%) or osteoarthritis (6.2%). There were differences between clusters in healthcare utilization, regardless of the number of disease combinations or clustering approach used. CONCLUSION: Researchers, clinicians, policymakers, and other stakeholders can use the clustering information presented here to improve the healthcare system for people with cancer multimorbidity by developing cluster-specific care management and clinical guidelines for common disease combinations.

Prevalence of multimorbidity in adults with cancer, and associated health service utilization in Ontario, Canada: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The majority of people with cancer have at least one other chronic health condition. With each additional chronic disease, the complexity of their care increases, as does the potential for negative outcomes including premature death. In this paper, we describe cancer patients' clinical complexity (i.e., multimorbidity; MMB) in order to inform strategic efforts to improve care and outcomes for people with cancer of all types and commonly occurring chronic diseases. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of adults diagnosed with cancer between 2003 and 2013 (N = 601,331) identified in Ontario, Canada healthcare administrative data. During a five to 15-year follow-up period (through March 2018), we identified up to 16 co-occurring conditions and patient outcomes for the cohort, including health service utilization and death. RESULTS: MMB was extremely common, affecting more than 91% of people with cancer. Nearly one quarter (23%) of the population had five or more co-occurring conditions. While we saw no differences in MMB between sexes, MMB prevalence and level increased with age. MMB prevalence and type of co-occurring conditions also varied by cancer type. Overall, MMB was associated with higher rates of health service utilization and mortality, regardless of other patient characteristics, and specific conditions differentially impacted these rates. CONCLUSIONS: People with cancer are likely to have at least one other chronic medical condition and the presence of MMB negatively affects health service utilization and risk of premature death. These findings can help motivate and inform health system advances to improve care quality and outcomes for people with cancer and MMB.

Rising burden of multimorbidity and related socio-demographic factors: a repeated cross-sectional study of Ontarians.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to provide population-level data regarding trends in multimorbidity over 13 years. METHODS: We linked provincial health administrative data in Ontario, Canada, to create 3 cross-sectional panels of residents of any age in 2003, 2009, and 2016 to describe: (i) 13-year trends in multimorbidity prevalence and constellations among residents and across age, sex, and income; and (ii) chronic condition clusters. Multimorbidity was defined as having at least any 2 of 18 selected conditions, and further grouped into levels of 2, 3, 4, or 5 or more conditions. Age-sex standardized multimorbidity prevalence was estimated using the 2009 population as the standard. Clustering was defined using the observed combinations of conditions within levels of multimorbidity. RESULTS: Standardized prevalence of multimorbidity increased over time (26.5%, 28.8%, and 30.0% across sequential panels), across sex, age, and area-based income. Females, older adults and those living in lower income areas exhibited higher rates in all years. However, multimorbidity increased relatively more among males, younger adults, and those with 4 or 5 or more conditions. We observed numerous and increasing diversity in disease clusters, namely at higher levels of multimorbidity. CONCLUSION: Our study provides relevant and needed population-based information on the growing burden of multimorbidity, and related socio-demographic risk factors. Multimorbidity is markedly increasing among younger age cohorts. Also, there is an increasing complexity and lack of common clustering patterns at higher multimorbidity levels.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Cette étude a pour but d'offrir des données populationnelles sur la multimorbidité et les tendances sur 13 années. MéTHODES: Cette étude transversale utilise des données administratives provinciales, incluant trois panels d'individus de tous âges, en 2003, 2009 et 2016, pour décrire : (i) les tendances de la multimorbidité en Ontario, et les différences entre âge, sexe et niveaux de revenus; ainsi que (ii) les combinaisons de maladies chroniques. La multimorbidité a été définie comme ayant au moins deux des 18 maladies chroniques sélectionnées, et ensuite groupée par niveau de 2, 3, 4 ou 5 maladies ou plus. Les taux de prévalence standardisés ont été estimés à partir de la population de 2009. Les combinaisons fréquentes de maladies chroniques observées par niveau de multimorbidité sont également arborées. RéSULTATS: La prévalence standardisée de multimorbidité a augmenté au fil des années (26,5 %, 28,8 % et 30,0 %). Elle était plus élevée chez les femmes, les personnes âgées, et celles vivant dans les endroits à faible revenus, peu importe l'année. Toutefois l'augmentation dans le temps était plus importante chez les hommes, les jeunes adultes, et pour les niveaux élevés de multimorbidité (4, 5 ou plus). Nous avons observé un nombre élevé de combinaisons de maladies, et une diversité grandissante spécialement pour les niveaux de multimorbidité élevés. CONCLUSION: Cette étude fournit des données épidémiologiques probantes sur le problème grandissant de la multimorbidité, notamment au sein des jeunes cohortes, et les facteurs sociodémographiques associés. Il existe également une complexité grandissante et pas de profils communs dans les combinaisons de maladies, aux niveaux élevés de multimorbidité.

Risk of Cervical Dysplasia After Colposcopy Care and Risk-Informed Return to Population-Based Screening: A Systematic Review.

This systematic review examined the risk of cervical dysplasia among women who have undergone a colposcopy episode of care to inform their return to population-based cervical screening. PubMed, Embase, and grey literature were searched between January 2000 and 2018. One reviewer screened citations against pre-defined eligibility criteria. A second reviewer verified 10% and 100% of exclusions at title and abstract and at full-text screening, respectively. One reviewer extracted data and assessed methodological quality of included articles; a second reviewer verified these in full. The primary outcome was incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or greater (CIN2+) subsequent to initial colposcopy evaluation. Secondary outcomes included incidence of CIN2+ after negative follow-up test results and performance of follow-up strategies. Results were synthesized narratively. A total of 48 studies were included. The 1- to 5-year CIN2+ risks after colposcopy evaluation ranged from 2.4% to 16.5% among women treated for CIN2+ and from 0.7% to 16.8% among women untreated for CIN grade 1 or less (≤CIN1). Follow-up strategies included single or repeat cytology, human papillomavirus (HPV) testing, or combined HPV/cytology co-testing at various intervals. After negative follow-up test results, risk varied by follow-up strategy for both groups and by referral cytology severity for untreated women. Performance of follow-up strategies varied among treated women. Among untreated women, co-testing demonstrated greater sensitivity than cytology alone. In conclusion, women treated during colposcopy for CIN2+ and women with ≤CIN1 who were referred to colposcopy for low-grade cytology and who did not receive treatment may be able to return to population-based screening after negative co-testing results. Current evidence does not suggest that women untreated for ≤CIN1 who are referred for high-grade cytology be returned to screening at an average risk interval. The optimal strategy for colposcopy discharge needs ongoing evaluation as implementation of HPV testing evolves.